STATISTICSLast reviewed October 8, 2026 · reviewed every three months

Agentic commerce statistics

Sourced, dated figures on AI shopping agents and AI-referred traffic, plus our own measurements with their sample sizes. Each figure links to the organization that published it.

AI and shopping

Most of these figures measure the US market; read them as a leading indicator for other markets.

+138%US

Growth in AI-referred visits to US retail sites in May 2026 versus a year earlier.

Source: Adobe Analytics (Digital Commerce 360) ↗ ·

14xUS

AI-referred retail traffic since October 2024 (up 1,324%), across more than 1 trillion visits analyzed.

Source: Adobe Analytics (Digital Commerce 360) ↗ ·

+54%US

Higher conversion rate for AI-referred visits than for visits from other sources.

Source: Adobe Analytics (Digital Commerce 360) ↗ ·

51%US

Share of US consumers who used at least one AI tool to shop in the past month; the first time above 50%.

Source: NIQ Agentic Commerce Tracker (The Next Web) ↗ ·

$3-5TGlobalForecast

McKinsey’s estimate of global agentic commerce by 2030 (up to $1 trillion in the US). A forecast, not a measurement.

Source: McKinsey (Digital Commerce 360) ↗ ·

Türkiye

Figures for the Turkish market. There is no official measurement of agent-driven sales in Türkiye yet.

94.5%Türkiye

Share of AI-driven website referrals in Türkiye that come from ChatGPT: the highest in the world (global average 80.9%). 39.7% of internet users aged 16 and over used ChatGPT in the past month.

Source: We Are Social and Meltwater, Digital 2026 (Turkish Minute) ↗ ·

₺4.57TTürkiye

Türkiye’s e-commerce volume in 2025; it grew 52% in nominal lira terms, with 634,000 businesses selling online. There is no official measurement of agent-driven sales in Türkiye yet.

Source: Turkish Ministry of Trade ↗ ·

The web and AI answers

How much traffic is non-human, and how stable AI recommendations are.

50%+Web

More than half of internet traffic now comes from non-human sources, for the first time.

Source: Cloudflare ↗ ·

<1%Web

Chance that two answers to the same recommendation question in ChatGPT or Google’s AI give the same list of brands; the same order comes back roughly once in a thousand. 600 volunteers, 12 prompts, 2,961 runs.

Source: SparkToro and Gumshoe ↗ · · 2,961 runs

Our own measurements

Measured by Specoria. We don’t name the stores we measured.

9 of 9Specoria

AI agents shopping in a real browser on five live stores: the two strongest models reached checkout on all 9 tasks that could be completed; two lighter models on 7 of 9. A small sample: read it as a field observation, not a success rate.

Source: Specoria field study · · 40 runs · 4 model families · 5 stores

836Specoria

Online stores measured for the Agent Readiness Index 2027 with the 12 checks of our free test’s first version: 365 Turkish and 471 English-language stores. The results are in the report (PDF); the sample is not random and its limits are set out there.

Source: Specoria, Agent Readiness Index 2027 · · 836 stores

Figures are published by the organizations named; only the last section is Specoria’s own data. Forecasts vary by organization.

Editorial policy

  • We prefer the original publisher; where we cite a news report, the outlet is named in brackets.
  • Every figure shows the date it was published and what it covers (US, Türkiye, global). Forecasts are labelled as forecasts.
  • Our own figures carry the sample size and date, and say what the sample is not.
  • We review the page every three months. A figure that is out of date or that we can no longer trace is removed, not kept.
  • No figure on our site is made up or rounded up to sound bigger; an automated test in our code fails when a statistic on the site has no source.

What isn’t here yet

  • Results of the Agent Readiness Index 2027 (average score, ready share, platform breakdowns): they are in the report PDF and will appear here once the figures are approved for the web.
  • Sector figures for hotels and service businesses: we’ll publish them only once we have measured enough sites ourselves.

Run the free test on your store → Agent Readiness Index 2027 →